Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000773 0.000877 0.000987 0.001112 0.001249 0.001394 0.001560
2025-08-17 0.000599 0.000741 0.000902 0.001096 0.001321 0.001574 0.001877
2025-08-24 0.000496 0.000653 0.000837 0.001069 0.001348 0.001673 0.002075
2025-08-31 0.000416 0.000579 0.000779 0.001039 0.001363 0.001752 0.002246
2025-09-07 0.000365 0.000533 0.000748 0.001035 0.001405 0.001858 0.002447
2025-09-14 0.000324 0.000496 0.000722 0.001034 0.001445 0.001960 0.002644
2025-09-21 0.000286 0.000457 0.000691 0.001022 0.001468 0.002039 0.002810
2025-09-28 0.000251 0.000420 0.000657 0.001003 0.001479 0.002100 0.002953
2025-10-05 0.000235 0.000408 0.000657 0.001028 0.001549 0.002238 0.003199
2025-10-12 0.000218 0.000394 0.000653 0.001046 0.001609 0.002365 0.003431
2025-10-19 0.000196 0.000369 0.000631 0.001037 0.001630 0.002437 0.003591
2025-10-26 0.000177 0.000345 0.000608 0.001026 0.001645 0.002501 0.003741
2025-11-02 0.000164 0.000332 0.000602 0.001038 0.001695 0.002617 0.003966
2025-11-09 0.000149 0.000315 0.000587 0.001037 0.001726 0.002705 0.004155
2025-11-16 0.000130 0.000288 0.000555 0.001006 0.001712 0.002728 0.004252
2025-11-23 0.000114 0.000264 0.000526 0.000979 0.001699 0.002752 0.004350
2025-11-30 0.000104 0.000251 0.000513 0.000976 0.001723 0.002829 0.004523
2025-12-07 0.000095 0.000238 0.000502 0.000974 0.001750 0.002910 0.004704
2025-12-14 0.000086 0.000224 0.000485 0.000963 0.001759 0.002964 0.004847
2025-12-21 0.000076 0.000208 0.000465 0.000945 0.001756 0.003001 0.004964
2025-12-28 0.000073 0.000206 0.000469 0.000969 0.001822 0.003143 0.005239
2026-01-04 0.000069 0.000202 0.000470 0.000986 0.001879 0.003270 0.005495
2026-01-11 0.000063 0.000191 0.000456 0.000977 0.001891 0.003329 0.005649